Lovell
S. Jarvis
"The Long Term Agricultural Effects of Economic and Land Reforms in Chile,
1965–2000"
September
13,
2004 |
|
Lovell
S. Jarvis, a professor in the Department of
Agricultural and Resource Economics
at UC Davis, speaks about the historical developments
in the Chilean agricultural sector following the land
reforms of the 1960s-70s and the economic reforms of
the 1970s-80s. |
Preliminary draft of the paper that forms the
basis for the event (.pdf file)
Jarvis Links Land and Economic Reforms to Agricultural Growth
in Chile
By Thad Dunning
How
has Chilean agriculture, once a relatively stagnant sector
in which large landowners held relatively inefficient
and unproductive
wheat and livestock farms, become a dynamic and technologically-sophisticated
exporter of fruit and wine?
Lovell “Tu” Jarvis,
Professor of Agricultural and Resource Economics at the University
of California, Davis, argued
that a key to answering this question lies in understanding
the interactions between the land reforms that began in Chile
in
1965 and the broader economic reforms undertaken after the
country’s
military coup in 1973. “Chile is unusual in that it
carried out two major reforms, originating from very different
ideological
perspectives, in the last forty years,” Jarvis said. “Both
reforms had positive effects on Chile’s agricultural
sector.”
Land
reform
The
first set of initiatives to affect agriculture included the
land reforms begun under Christian Democratic President
Eduardo
Frei in 1965 and extended under Socialist Salvador Allende,
who was President from 1970 until the military coup of
September 11, 1973. In 1965, 55 percent of Chile’s
agricultural land, measured by productive capacity, was
held by about 5,000 large
farms, while the remaining 45 percent of land was held
in 238,000 smaller farms. This highly skewed distribution
of land was progressively
reduced under the Frei and Allende administrations.
Between
1965 and 1973, around 43 percent of Chile’s land,
including many of Chile’s largest farms, was expropriated.
Often, there was some form of payment to the owners.
This, however,
frequently took the form of long-term government bonds
that were not inflation-indexed and that therefore
lost value over
time.
Although
Augusto Pinochet’s military government,
which ruled from 1973 to 1990, partially reversed
some of the land
reforms, it also maintained an important process
of land redistribution after it assumed power. After 1974,
around 57 percent of previously
expropriated land was distributed to approximately
50,000 land reform beneficiaries, while 28 percent
of the expropriated land
was returned to previous landowners and the remaining
15 percent was retained by the government or auctioned
off. In total, an
amount equal to about 25 percent of Chile’s
land was redistributed to land reform beneficiaries.
Still,
Jarvis said, land reform
fell far short of “creating a class of viable
small-scale farmers.” In part, this was due
to the military government’s
failure to provide reasonable operational assistance
to the land reform beneficiaries. In part, it was
due to the effects
of both
the fruit export boom that began in Chile in 1974
and a second set of reforms, the economic reforms
adopted
by the Pinochet
regime.
Economic
reforms under Pinochet
Chile’s
boom in exported fruit, which has taken advantage of Chile’s
location in the Southern Hemisphere to supply Northern markets
counter-seasonally, “resulted
in a dramatic increase in the scale of efficient operating
agricultural enterprises,
which required managerial skills” as well
as financial training to manage. In 1965, however,
only 3 percent of permanent-resident
farmers were functionally literate. “At
the time expropriation took place,” Jarvis
said, former resident farmers “were
not prepared” for the management tasks
with which they would be confronted.
Many
beneficiaries of the land reform, in fact,
sold the land they had received. Around 40
percent had
done so by
the early
1980s, and nearly 100 percent in many areas
of central Chile by the 1990s. The result, Jarvis
said, was
a tremendous increase
in the liquidity of the rural land market,
which would bring marked changes to the Chilean agricultural
sector.
Land reform
increased the number of lots available for
purchase,
while the dismissal under Pinochet of many
adult laborers previously
resident
on the massive farms disrupted the traditional
rural employment system and created a mass
of landless wage laborers. Macroeconomic
reforms, meanwhile, cheapened some agricultural
inputs,
and new technologies began to appear in the
wine and fruit sectors.
The
eventual effect, Jarvis said, was a takeoff in agricultural
productivity, as new owners
brought entrepreneurial attitudes
and heightened profit-making incentives to
bear on
their agricultural activities. Rural land
prices boomed. Although
agricultural
value-added declined during the two macroeconomic
crises of 1975-76 and 1982-83,
it grew at an average rate of more than 4
percent from 1974 to 1999 — much more rapidly
than the long-term agricultural growth rate
of 2 percent prior to 1965.
Chile’s
agricultural output mix also changed markedly,
away from a rural economy initially dominated
by cereals, livestock, legumes and oilseeds
produced for domestic consumption. Fruit
production rose from five to 30 percent
of agricultural value-added. Wine-making took
off a few years later. While the total
hectares devoted to winemaking remained relatively
constant, yields and
quality increased markedly as more efficient
productive techniques were introduced.
In 1965, the Ford Foundation financed a ten-year
agreement between the University of California
and the University
of Chile to provide graduate training for
Chileans and faculty research exchanges.
Under this program, Chileans sent a large
number of students to UC Davis to specialize
in the agricultural
sciences, particularly those related to
fruit and wine production. Upon returning to Chile,
these graduates established teaching
and research programs that provided the
scientific knowledge that allowed the fruit sector to
progress technologically. Thus
the “Davis Boys” (though less
well-known than the “Chicago
Boys,” the University of Chicago-educated
economists who planned Pinochet’s
macroeconomic stabilization and liberalization
policies)
were especially important in providing
access to fruit
production and post-harvest technology.
This technology was essential to the ability
of
new entrepreneurs — whose entry into
the sector had been paved in the first
place by land reform — to
export high quality fruit to Northern Hemisphere
markets.
The
broad economic stabilization and liberalization program pushed
by the
Pinochet government
also had some important
effects on
boosting productivity and trade in the
agricultural sector, said Jarvis, whose
Chilean Agriculture
under Military
Rule is one
of the best-known books on the subject.
The government carried out economic reforms
according
to its
design for the whole
economy, which was a change from a historical
pattern in which agriculture
received various targeted forms of protection.
With a few exceptions — for
example, the Pinochet regime enacted
a subsidy for the forestry sector, which
played a role not only in enriching a
small
number
of politically-connected investors but
also in stimulating a sector that subsequently
became an important source of export
growth — the government removed
price controls, liberalized the external
economy
and dismantled agricultural input tariffs.
Despite the painful process of adjustment
this prompted, Jarvis
said that Chile was able over medium-term
to develop new kinds of comparative advantages.
The creation of a class of skilled
agricultural workers, which was the result
of a Pinochet-regime policy that gave
landlords incentives to hire temporary
rather
than permanent workers and had a harsh
social impact initially, ultimately also
had an effect in boosting labor productivity,
particularly as workers were frequently
paid on a contract
or piece rate instead of wage basis.
The
pace and sequencing of reform
Jarvis
presented his material as descriptive evidence defining a
series of hypotheses
that remain to
be tested. Nonetheless,
some intriguing causal ideas emerged
from his discussion. One concerns
the importance
of
the fortuitous sequence
in which the
reforms were adopted. The fact that
land reform preceded the adoption
of liberalizing
reforms
in the countryside
was particularly
important. Had the order been reversed,
Jarvis said, traditional landowners
would have been
the beneficiaries
of any rise
in the value of land that occurred
as a result of opening the economy
to new technologies and cheap agricultural
inputs. The traditional elite might
then have used its
political power to block the
adoption of further procompetitive
policy, and new entrepreneurs
might
not have been attracted to the sector.
Another
idea concerns the importance of
the temporally-extended nature
of the reform “success,” which
is only apparent in hindsight.
In the aftermath of the Pinochet
coup,
the positive
effects of the regime’s agricultural
policies were not immediately obvious.
Agricultural value-added only grew
at the
moderate annual pace of 2 percent
during the first decade following
the coup, and at the time Jarvis
predicted that slow growth would
continue. “I was wrong,” he
said.
Finally,
Jarvis discussed the relationship between the military
regime’s tough-fisted approach
to economic reforms and what
might have occurred under a continued
Chilean democracy.
Pinochet, despite the egregious
human rights abuses associated
with his regime, has become something
of a hero in some economic
policy circles; Chile’s
recent economic success, at least
relative
to much of Latin America, has
been credited to Pinochet’s
early and firm support for what
later came to be known as the
neoliberal model. Jarvis noted
that Pinochet-era
economic reforms “have
been embraced, fine-tuned and
extended by four subsequent democratic
administrations” in
Chile, with only relatively minor
modifications.
This
success has suggested to some that authoritarian
governments
might be better
than democracies
at pushing through difficult
economic reforms, especially
those
that bring long-term benefits
but short-term costs.
Jarvis raised this
possibility but
disputed it. “No other
military government in Latin
America achieved reforms of comparable
significance,” he said.
Lovell “Tu” Jarvis is Professor of Agricultural
and Resource Economics and Divisional Associate Dean of Human
Sciences at UC Davis. He presented his talk, “The Long
Term Agricultural Effects of Economic and Land Reforms in Chile,
1965-2000,” at CLAS on September 13, 2004.
Thad Dunning is a doctoral candidate in the Department of Political
Science.